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Ahhh November. Popularly known in Southoz as “blowvember” in honour of its relentless SE winds, or “flatvember” in honour of its weeks of no swell, 2020 certainly flies in the face of those cliches. I am convinced it’s a “pre-La Nina” year thing… shit’s all out-of-whack and we get the good stuff in the months before two years of utter hell. As I type, the South Coast is still huge… Bullies was breaking well overhead today and Middleton was 6ft+. Yorkes was on the pump and even the dear old Mid Coast scored a stormy on Wednesday and clean chest-high waves today. So you may well ask… will the awesomeness continue? The short answer is… not really.
Friday is your last chance to score clean conditions anywhere for a while, and winds will be light from the East early. The Mid Coast will be smaller than this morning, with wave heights back to around 1′ with rare bigger sets through the best of the tide. The swell will ease on the South Coast and it’ll be lumpy / glassy early with surf in the 5′ range at Middleton. Yorkes will be good tomorrow so it’s your last shot at a day trip for a while.
A gusty W-SW change will roll through the state in the early hours of the weekend, and Saturday will dawn to gusty NW winds shifting WSW at 30 knots plus. There will be a stormy building on Saturday and sheltered spots in the gulf may get a guernsey late arvo. It’ll be blown out on the South Coast with surf in the 3 – 4′ range.
Strong West winds will persist on Sunday, and there should be stormy waves at several of the usual suspects. Hard to say if metro beaches will get big enough, but certainly the likes The Cove, Dumpers, and Adelaide’s worst kept secret spot will have messy but surfable conditions.
A big SW swell will lift wave heights on the South Coast on Monday, and it’ll probably be back up to the 6 – 8′ range at more exposed locations. Sheltered spots will be worth a look, winds will be SW at 25 knots so anywhere exposed will still be blown out. The stormy conditions will persist on the Mid Coast with surf in the 3′ range, easing later.
The wind and seas will ease early Tuesday, and the wind will be almost dead Southerly at 5 – 7 knots in the morning. The Mid Coast looks like it’ll be bumpy 1 – 2′, Middleton will be in the 6′ range but bumpy with light onshore winds.
The wind will go light/variable on Wednesday, so the Fleriuieu and Yorke peninsulas will be glassy in the morning. Wave heights will be back to around 1′ on the Mid Coast, with lumpy / glassy 4′ waves at Middleton.
Thursday should see a little more East in the breeze, probably around 10 knots early. The Mid Coast will be clean and still around 1′, with lumpy 4 – 5′ waves at Middleton. Friday looks NE with smaller swell at this stage, but let’s see how that pans out. Plan for a stormy weekend.
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Ahhh November. Popularly known in Southoz as “blowvember” in honour of its relentless SE winds, or “flatvember” in honour of its weeks of no swell, 2020 certainly flies in the face of those cliches. I am convinced it’s a “pre-La Nina” year thing… shit’s all out-of-whack and we get the good stuff in the months … Continue reading SA surf outlook Dec 3
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